Examples of Reference Scenario in a sentence
Policies are analysed as counterfactual dynamic scenarios and are compared against the Reference scenario representing Business as Usual trends.
In this context, the cost competitiveness of European industries vis-à-vis the Chinese improves considerably, and thus EU industrial activity losses are very small relative to the Reference scenario.
The Reference scenario is a future projection of the EU energy system based on continuation of current and historic trends- it is not a forecast.
The rest of the assumptions are common and include the following: The price of electricity, which is the variable cost of a charging station and affects the fuel cost of EVs draws from the Reference scenario 2016 quantified with the PRIMES model (Capros et al., 2016) and ranges from 0.163 euros/kWh in 2021 to 0.175 euros/kWh in 2030.
The Recipient shall: • Develop two Reference Scenarios reflective of California’s existing regulations leveraging state agency Reference scenario defined through the SB 100 Joint Agency Report, the CARB Scoping Plan, CEC’s IEPR California Energy Demand, and the CPUC IRP.
The values of all parameters included in the “Base scenario” reflect those include in the official EC Reference scenario (Xxxxxx et al 201628).
This baseline scenario, which we simply call baseline , uses as a basis the key assumptions as presented in the Reference scenario 2016 (Xxxxxx et al, 2016).
For example, population, GDP, sectoral activity and international fossil fuel prices are derived from the EC, Reference scenario 201627.
The most important parameters of the Base scenario which take initial values from the EC Reference scenario include: GDP and demographic assumptions, technology costs, energy demand by fuel in base year, power generation mix and technology capacity (in base year), prices of energy products and policy variables (base year), hourly patterns of load, loss rates by technology/country, parameters for cost-supply curves etc.
This means that energy system costs as a share of GDP stay relatively constant at their 2010-2020 levels until 2050 under Reference scenario conditions.