Targeted Outcomes. (1) Quantitative Effects
1) Outcomes (Operation and Effect Indicators) Indicators Baseline (Results as of 2019) Target (2027) (2 years after project completion) Maximum power output (generating end) (MW) 0 600 Annual operating time (hours/year) 0 7,500 Plant load factor (%) 0 80 Auxiliary power ratio (%) 0 5 Gross power efficiency (power generation + heat supply) (%) 0 60 Outage hours per Human errors 0 0 cause (hours/year) Machine errors 0 6 Planned outage 0 25 Annual net heat output (Gcal) 0 1,000,000
(2) Qualitative Effects: Stable power supply to local industries and improvement of the energy efficiency
(3) Internal Rate of Return: Mainly based on the conditions indicated below, the economic internal rate of return (EIRR) of the project is 29.8% and the financial internal rate of return (FIRR) is -5.0%. The reasons are as follows: the increase rate of the unit price of fuel gas used at the Navoi TPP has been over that of the unit price of electricity sold since 2017 and thereby the Navoi TPP's operating profit ratio has been low. Currently, the financial situation has been improved through reformation of the Electric Power Sector (e.g., revision of tariffs), so the profitability will be improved and the project is expected to be feasible from the financial aspect. [EIRR] Cost: Project costs (excluding taxes) and operation, maintenance, and management costs Benefits: Increased power and heat supply, reduced fuel consumption, and reduced CO2 emissions Project life: 30 years [FIRR] Cost: Project costs and operation, maintenance, and management costs Benefits: Power and heat sales revenue Project life: 30 years
Targeted Outcomes. (1) Quantitative Effects
1) Performance Indicators (Operation and Effect Indicator) Indicator Baseline （Actual Value in 2015） Target (2023) 【Expected value 2 years after project completion】 Component 1 Number of infrastructures recovered and rehabilitated through inter-ministerialcoordination (Note 1） Increase (Note 1) Component 2 Number of Project Implementation Office in upazila in the target 12 districts with dual system for information communication (number ofoffices) 0 Increase (Note 2) Number of fire stations in the target 12 districts with dual system for information communication(number of stations) 41 153 Component 3 Number of infrastructures recovered and rehabilitated through inter-ministerialcoordination (number of projects) 0 Increase (Note 5) Number of recovery projects (more than 100 million Japanese yen) completed within one (1)year after disaster occurs (Note 4) 0 Increase (Note 5) Note 1：Original and target value will be set through baseline survey immediately after the approval of subprojects. Note 2：Target value will be set through a baseline survey expected in April 2017. Note 4：The cost of a recovery project mentioned above is an indication only. The cost of the recovery project will be surveyed and determined before the Project starts. Note 5：The indicator will be confirmed only after disaster occurred. Therefore, actual days taken will be recorded instead of setting target value.
2) Internal Rate of Return The Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) is not calculated because it is difficult to identify subprojects before implementing the Project.
(2) Qualitative Effects
1) Reduction of disaster risk to human life, property, socioeconomic activities, etc. and improvement of information transmission before, during, and after the disaster
2) An increase in efficiency of public administration for disaster prevention (starting early emergency activities, conducting prompt recovery/rehabilitation activities, efficient allocation of budget)
Targeted Outcomes. (1) Quantitative Effects
1) Performance Indicators (Operation and Effect Indicator) Indicators Name Original (2016/2017) *1 Target (2025) Number of diagnoses with angiography (per year) *2 Badulla PGH Trincomalee DGH Kandy TH Kurunegala TH Anuradhapura TH 0 0 2,624 999 160 1,300 1,300 3,300 3,200 2,000 Number of catheter interventions (per year) *2 Badulla PGH Trincomalee DGH Kandy TH Kurunegala TH Anuradhapura TH 0 0 603 243 3 300 300 2,200 800 1,400 Number of equipment items which can be repaired by BES BES 34 57 *1 Baseline data for angiography diagnoses and catheter interventions are the records for 2016, and 2017 for the other indicators. *2 Targets for each hospital were set in consideration of the facility condition and the necessary number of medical professionals based on the original indicator of Kandy TH. *3 A safety cabinet is a kind of sterile equipment for examinations.
(2) Qualitative Effects
1) Improvement of the medical services (e.g., improvement of access to medical services in rural areas, reduction of waiting time at hospitals, etc.)
2) Improvement of the health of the people
(3) Internal Rate of Return Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) is not calculated as it is difficult to accurately calculate economic benefit (such as a reduced mortality rate). Also, Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR) is not calculated as the project does not assume fee collection from users.
Targeted Outcomes. (1) Quantitative Effects
(i) Performance Indicators (Operation and Effect Indicators) Indicator Baseline (Actual value in 2022) Target (2026) [2 years after project completion]
1) Proportion of early secondary school teacher of mathematics who received training on the pedagogic model to improve the learning outcome (6 provinces) (Note) 0% 90%
2) Number of schools in 6 AREFs that implement the School Improvement Project (6 provinces) (Note) 100 500 3) Proportion of Tayssir beneficiaries using payment account or bank account to receive Tayssir cash 2.7％ 80%
Targeted Outcomes. (1) Quantitative Effects
1) Performance Indicators (Operation and Effect Indicator) Indicator Baseline (Actual value in FY2014) Target (in 2024) [Expected value two years after project completion] Number of buildings that satisfy the BNBC requirements (buildings) - Increase Number of seismic resistant fire stations that satisfy the BNBC requirements (buildings) 0 10 Number of loan contracts for improvement of safety of private buildings (contracts) - Increase Recovery rate of loans for improvement of safety of private buildings (%) - Increase Number of public relations activities about the architectural requirements of Bangladesh (activities per year) - Increase * There is no official data that can be used as a baseline to evaluate the safety of buildings. Moreover, it is difficult to set individual numerical targets. Therefore, this Project is to be evaluated by the increase or decrease in the indicators listed above from the baseline values to be determined from the data collected on a sample basis.
(2) Qualitative Effects: Mitigation of disaster damage.
(3) Internal Rate of Return: The Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR) and Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) were not calculated because sub-projects could not be identified.
Targeted Outcomes. (1) Quantitative Effects
1) Operation and Effect Indicators Indicators Baseline (Actual value in 2013) Target (2020) [Three Years after Project Completion] Beneficiary area (ha) 15,800 52,800 Crop acreage (ha) 50,688 79,200 4 Irrigators’ Organizations will operate, maintain, and manage completed irrigation facilities in line with the National Irrigation Policy (2010) of the government of Tanzania. The necessary costs for the operation and maintenance is covered by the water fee collected from organization members (5% of their products). Collection rate of irrigation water charge (%) 15–75 70 Production of key crops (ton/year) 51,480 242,880 Yield of key crops (ton/year) 2.0 4.0 Agricultural gross income per household (yen/year/household) 30,610 102,700
Note 1) The baseline and target were estimated from the total and average figures based on the data from the current candidate sites of sub-projects. These figures will be revised based on the baseline survey after the sub-projects are determined.
Note 2) The baseline survey should ideally be conducted within six months after the sub-projects are determined. The survey will be based on interviews conducted by each district through irrigators’ organizations with necessary assistance from zonal irrigational offices. The results will be compiled by the Department of Irrigation and Technical Services which will be then reported to JICA through the Project Status Report.
Note 3) Crop acreage will be indicated not only in total, but also specifically with rice as a key crop.
Note 4) Production of key crops is indicated for rice and other key crops ranked high in the baseline survey.
2) Internal Rate of Return The rate is not calculated during the appraisal, as sub-projects have not been determined (the economic internal rate of return, or EIRR, is identified once the sub-projects are determined. Still, selected sub-projects must always have a rate of 12% or greater). Note that the EIRR is calculated for each sub-project based on the following assumption in accordance with the Comprehensive Irrigation Guidelines for DADPs, which provide guidance for project planning and management of irrigation development. [EIRR] Cost: Project cost (excluding tax), and maintenance and management cost Benefit: Profit from increased yield Project life: 30 years
(2) Qualitative Effects Poverty reduction and improved living environment
Targeted Outcomes. In response to worsening flood damage, the project will take measures such as elevating a portion of the road surfaces and appropriately installing drainage pipes and box culverts crossing under the road, which will contribute to measures to combat climate change (adaptation measures).
(1) Quantitative Effects
1) Performance Indicators Indicator Target road Reference value (value in 2011) Target value (2020) [2 years after completion of the project] Passenger car unit per day (PCU/day) Thlea Ma'am - Battambang 6,174 14,229 Pursat bypass - 12,090 Sri Xxxxxxx -Poipet 7,454 15,566 Time required (minutes) (Prek Kdam- Thlea Ma’am Section) Thlea Ma'am - Battambang （including Pursat bypass） 116 107 Sri Xxxxxxx -Poipet 44 36
2) Internal Rate of Return Based on the following premises, the economic internal rate of return (EIRR) of this project is 15.0%. Since this project aims to construct toll free road, FIRR is not to be calculated. 【EIRR】 Cost: cost of project (tax excluded), cost of operation/maintenance Benefit: it shortens the time required, and saves the driving expenses. Project life: 30 years
(2) Qualitative Effect: Promotion of the investment environment through the improvement of physical distribution between Thailand and Cambodia, and benefits to Japanese companies in Cambodia. Strengthened connectivity and promotion of regional integration. Ensured safe passage, increased
Targeted Outcomes. (1) Quantitative Effects
1) Performance Indicators (Operation and Effect Indicator) Indicator Baseline (Actual value in 2009) Target (2018) [2 years after project completion] Amount of solid waste collected in the cities where the equipment for transportation is procured (tons/day) (See Note) 1,020 1,500 Amount of solid waste treated in sanitary landfill in the target cities (tons/day) 0 1,990 Average BOD of leachate from final disposal sites in the target cities (mg/l) 1,000-5,000 <100 Average collection rate of solid waste in the target cities where the equipment for transportation is procured (%) 75 100 Note: Collection and transportation vehicles will be procured only in the main district of each target city of the Project. Although the vehicles will not be procured in the other districts of the target cities, the waste generated in these districts will be transported to and treated in the sanitary landfills to be constructed though the Project.
2) Internal Rates of Return Based on the conditions indicated below, the economic internal rate of return (EIRR) of this Project will be 9.4%. Although charges for waste collection will be collected, because the characteristic of the Project is highly public, the recovery of the investment costs by the collection of charges is not assumed. Therefore, the financial internal rate of return (FIRR) has not been calculated. EIRR Cost: Project cost (excluding taxes), operating, maintenance and reinvestment costs Benefits: Reduction in GHG emissions, improvement of the sanitary environment (amount that residents can pay for waste management) Project life: 10 years
Targeted Outcomes. (1) Quantitative effects
1) Performance Indicators (Operation and Effect Indicators) Indicator Area Baseline (2010) Target (2017) [Expected level 2 years after project completion] Increasing the Annual Average Daily Traffic (vehicles/day) Between Mawa and Janjira About 3,600* 13,696 Saving the Average Traveling time (Minutes) Between Dhaka and Khulna ** 765 200 Decreasing accidents of Ferry and Launch On the Padma River About 2 accidents on average / year, Injured (about 150 people/year) To be decreased
2) Internal Rate of Return Based on the conditions indicated below, the Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) of the Project is 18.0% and the Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR) is 3.1%. [EIRR] Cost: Project costs (excluding taxes), operation and maintenance costs Benefits: Travel saving time, Vehicle operating cost savings, effect from the installation of utility lines, etc. Project Life: 30 years [FIRR] Cost: Project costs, operation and maintenance costs Benefit: Toll revenues, Utility crossing fee, etc. Project Life: 30 years
(2) Qualitative Effects Economic development and poverty reduction in the southwestern region by facilitating the smooth mobilization of people and goods, and a reduction in flood damage through stabilization of the river flows.
Targeted Outcomes. (1) Quantitative Effects
1) Operation and Effect Indicator Indicator Baseline (Actual Value in 2012) Target (2020) Expected value two years after project completion: Annual number of international passengers (thousands of passengers) 577 1,184 Annual number of domestic passengers (thousands of passengers) 247 391 Annual amount of international cargo handled (ton) 2,008 4,001 Annual amount of domestic cargo handled (ton) 632 1,008
2) Internal Rate of Return EIRR: 16.3% Cost: Project costs, operation & maintenance costs (including utility costs, labor fees, and maintenance expenses), etc.
