Building scenarios Sample Clauses
Building scenarios. This document has the purpose of esti- mating the impact of different TRIPS Plus measures on the price and expendi- ture of a set of antiretroviral medicines to treat HIV and of direct-acting antivi- rals to treat Hepatitis C. A description of the "status quo scenario” and of the dif- ferent alternative scenarios that will be the base for the impact simulation is presented below.
Building scenarios. The main scenario building tools currently used to reflect on the impact and relevance of policy options, especially in the agricultural and fisheries sectors, are economic models. In the EU, eco- nomic models are often used in the policy process to carry out impact assessments (IAs), which have been made mandatory since 20034. Since such an IA is currently being carried out as part of the CAP post-2020 reform process, the added value of such an approach would have been limited here. Hence, we decided to rely on a more qualitative approach to complement econometric ap- proaches mostly used in IAs. Our aim has been to develop exploratory scenarios of how European food systems could evolve by 2030, to analyse (i) their possible consequences on producers’ con- ditions, and (ii) the associated needs for public policies or collective strategies to maintain / en- ▇▇▇▇▇ their sustainability. In such a perspective, scenarios are considered as stories that help to explore what, how and why things could happen in a certain way, in order to discuss about their possible consequences (▇▇▇▇▇▇▇▇, 1998 [1991]). The key starting point of the approach developed here is the idea that by 2030, European societies will experience changes that will not be directly linked to agricultural policies or producers’ strate-