How to Forecast During the Recession Sample Clauses

How to Forecast During the Recession. This section will give an overview how to make forecasting during a recession. In 2007 the news about steel production was very optimistic. The headlines of all articles related to steel industry began with the following words: “World crude steel production jumped to record in 2006, World crude steel production increased by 5.3%”. World Steel Association stated that 2008 will be another strong year for the steel industry. However, the financial crisis has occurred in 2009. It has strongly affected the steel industry: steel demand has dramatically decreased and prices for steel have fallen down. In the current situation steel industry experience that supply overtakes demand. It leads to collapse phase and results in cutting the production of steel and waiting what happened in the future. In this stage to make forecast is a challenge. Nowadays forecasts in big companies are carried out by expensive forecasting software. Xxxx (2009) expresses that the managers of big companies have a challenge how to make the forecast in these days. The results of forecasting systems gives the forecasting which is away by 40% from the truth. Forecasting software is not able to identify patterns during recession. Of course human beings can identify different patterns and trends in historical data but it is difficult to handle all data gathered in database. He suggests implementing simple algorithms such as weighted moving average, exponential smoothing.
Sample 1
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  • Allocations During the Revolving Period During the Revolving Period, the Servicer shall, prior to the close of business on the day any Collections are deposited in the Collection Account, allocate to the Investor Certificateholders or the Holder of the Seller Interest and pay or deposit from the Collection Account the following amounts as set forth below: (i) Allocate to the Investor Certificateholders the product of (y) the Investor Percentage on the Date of Processing of such Collections and (z) the aggregate amount of Collections of Finance Charge Receivables on such Date of Processing, and of that allocation, deposit in the Finance Charge Account an amount equal to either (I) (A) prior to the date on which the amount of Monthly Interest with respect to the related Interest Period is determined by the Servicer, an amount equal to the product of (1) the Investor Percentage on the Date of Processing of such Collections and (2) the aggregate amount of Collections of Finance Charge Receivables on such Date of Processing, and (B) at all other times, the difference between (1) the Monthly Interest with respect to the immediately following Transfer Date (plus, if the Seller is not the Servicer, the Certificateholder Servicing Fee for such Transfer Date plus the amount of any Certificateholder Servicing Fee due but not paid to the Servicer on any prior Transfer Date) and (2) the amounts previously deposited in the Finance Charge Account with respect to the current Monthly Period pursuant to this subsection 4.05(a)(i) or (II) the amount of Collections of Finance Charge Receivables allocated to the Investor Certificateholders on such Date of Processing pursuant to this subsection 4.05(a)(i); provided, that if a deposit pursuant to subsection 4.05(a)(i)(I) is made on any Date of Processing, on the related Transfer Date, the Servicer shall withdraw from the Collection Account and deposit into the Finance Charge Account an amount equal to the amount of Collections of Finance Charge Receivables that have been allocated to the Investor Certificateholders during the related Monthly Period but not previously deposited in the Finance Charge Account. Funds deposited into the Finance Charge Account pursuant to this subsection 4.05(a)(i) shall be applied in accordance with Section 4.09. (ii) Deposit into the Principal Account an amount equal to the product of (A) the Collateral Allocation on the Date of Processing of such Collections, (B) the Investor Percentage on the Date of Processing of such Collections and (C) the aggregate amount of Collections processed in respect of Principal Receivables on such Date of Processing to be applied first in accordance with Section 4.12 and then in accordance with subsection 4.09(d). (iii) Deposit into the Principal Account an amount equal to the product of (A) the Class B Investor Allocation on the Date of Processing of such Collections, (B) the Investor Percentage on the Date of Processing of such Collections and (C) the aggregate amount of Collections processed in respect of Principal Receivables on such Date of Processing to be applied first in accordance with Section 4.12 and then in accordance with subsection 4.09(d). (iv) (A) Deposit into the Principal Account an amount equal to the product of (1) the Class A Investor Allocation on the Date of Processing of such Collections, (2) the Investor Percentage on the Date of Processing of such Collections and (3) the aggregate amount of Collections processed in respect of Principal Receivables on such Date of Processing; provided, however, that the amount deposited into the Principal Account pursuant to this subsection 4.05(a)(iv)(A) shall not exceed the Daily Principal Shortfall, and (B) pay to the Holder of the Seller Interest an amount equal to the excess, if any, identified in the proviso to clause (A) above; provided, however, that the amount to be paid to the Holder of the Seller Interest pursuant to this subsection 4.05(a)(iv)(B) with respect to any Date of Processing shall be paid to the Holder of the Seller Interest if, and only to the extent that, the Seller Interest on such Date of Processing is equal to or greater than the Minimum Seller Interest (after giving effect to the inclusion in the Trust of all Receivables created on or prior to such Date of Processing and the application of payments referred to in subsection 4.03(b)) and otherwise shall be considered as Unallocated Principal Collections and deposited into the Principal Account in accordance with subsection 4.05(e). (b)

  • Time off during notice period During the period of notice of termination given by the employer, an employee shall be allowed up to one day's time off without loss of pay for the purpose of seeking other employment. This time off shall be taken at times that are convenient to the employee after consultation with the employer.

  • Refund During Cooling-Off Period The PEI will provide the Student with a cooling-off period of seven (7) working days after the date that the Contract has been signed by both parties. The Student will be refunded the highest percentage (stated in Schedule D) of the fees already paid if the Student submits a written notice of withdrawal to the PEI within the cooling-off period, regardless of whether the Student has started the course or not.

  • Allocations During the Controlled Accumulation Period During the Controlled Accumulation Period (A) an amount equal to the product of (I) the sum of the Class B Principal Percentage and the Collateral Principal Percentage and (II) the Principal Allocation Percentage and (III) the Series 1997-1 Allocation Percentage and (IV) the aggregate amount of Collections of Principal Receivables deposited in the Collection Account on such Deposit Date, shall be allocated to the Series 1997-1 Certificateholders and retained in the Collection Account until applied as provided herein and (B) an amount equal to the product of (I) the Class A Principal Percentage and (II) the Principal Allocation Percentage and (III) the Series 1997-1 Allocation Percentage and (IV) the aggregate amount of Collections of Principal Receivables deposited in the Collection Account on such Deposit Date (such product for any such date, a "Percentage Allocation") shall be allocated to the Series 1997-1 Certificateholders and retained in the Collection Account until applied as provided herein; provided, however, that if the sum of such Percentage Allocation and all preceding Percentage Allocations with respect to the same Monthly Period exceeds the Controlled Deposit Amount for the related Distribution Date, then such excess shall not be treated as a Percentage Allocation and shall be first, if any other Principal Sharing Series is outstanding and in its amortization period or accumulation period, retained in the Collection Account for application, to the extent necessary, as Shared Principal Collections on the related Distribution Date, and second paid to the Holders of the Transferor Certificates only if the Transferor Amount on such Deposit Date is greater than the Required Transferor Amount (after giving effect to all Principal Receivables transferred to the Trust on such day) and otherwise shall be deposited in the Special Funding Account.

  • Allocations During the Early Amortization Period During the Early Amortization Period, an amount equal to the product of (A) the Principal Allocation Percentage and (B) the Series 1997-1 Allocation Percentage and (C) the aggregate amount of Collections of Principal Receivables deposited in the Collection Account on such Deposit Date, shall be allocated to the Series 1997-1 Certificateholders and retained in the Collection Account until applied as provided herein; provided, however, that after the date on which an amount of such Collections equal to the Adjusted Invested Amount has been deposited into the Collection Account and allocated to the Series 1997-1 Certificateholders, such amount shall be first, if any other Principal Sharing Series is outstanding and in its amortization period or accumulation period, retained in the Collection Account for application, to the extent necessary, as Shared Principal Collections on the related Distribution Date, and second paid to the Holders of the Transferor Certificates only if the Transferor Amount on such date is greater than the Required Transferor Amount (after giving effect to all Principal Receivables transferred to the Trust on such day) and otherwise shall be deposited in the Special Funding Account.

  • Services During Certain Events In the event a third person begins a tender or exchange offer, circulates a proxy to stockholders, or takes other steps to effect a Change in Control, Executive agrees that he will not voluntarily terminate employment with Kaydon (or the Subsidiary then employing Executive) on less than three months written notice to the Chief Executive Officer of Kaydon, will render the services expected of his position, and will act in all things related to the interests of the stockholders of Kaydon until the third person has abandoned or terminated the efforts to effect a Change in Control or until a Change in Control has occurred.

  • Maintenance during Construction Period (i) During the Construction Period, the Contractor shall maintain, at its cost, the existing lane(s) of the Project Highway so that the traffic worthiness and safety thereof are at no time materially inferior as compared to their condition on Appointed Date, and shall undertake the necessary repair and maintenance works for this purpose; provided that the Contractor may, at its cost, interrupt and divert the flow of traffic if such interruption and diversion is necessary for the efficient progress of Works and conforms to Good Industry Practice; provided further that such interruption and diversion shall be undertaken by the Contractor only with the prior written approval of the Authority’s Engineer which approval shall not be unreasonably withheld. For the avoidance of doubt, it is agreed that the Contractor shall at all times be responsible for ensuring safe operation of the Project Highway. It is further agreed that in the event the Project includes construction of a bypass or tunnel and realignment of the existing carriageway, the Contractor shall maintain the existing highway in such sections until the new Works are open to traffic. (ii) Notwithstanding anything to the contrary contained in this Agreement, in the event of default by the Contractor in discharging the obligations specified in Clause 10.4 (i) above, the Authority shall get these maintenance works completed in the manner recommended by the Authority’s Engineer to avoid public inconvenience at the risk and cost of the Contractor in order to keep the road in traffic worthy condition.

  • Withdrawals during Concession Period 27.3.1 The Concessionaire shall, at the time of opening the Escrow Account, give irrevocable instructions, by way of an Escrow Agreement, to the Escrow Bank instructing, inter alia, that deposits in the Escrow Account shall be appropriated in the following order every month, or at shorter intervals as necessary, and if not due in a month then appropriated proportionately in such month and retained in the Escrow Account and paid out therefrom in the month when due: (a) all taxes due and payable by the Concessionaire for and in respect of the Project; (b) all payments relating to construction of the Project, subject to and in accordance with the conditions, if any, set forth in the Financing Agreements; (c) O&M Expenses, subject to the ceiling, if any, set forth in the Financing Agreements; (d) O&M Expenses and other costs and expenses incurred by the Authority in accordance with the provisions of this Agreement, and certified by the Authority as due and payable to it; (e) Concession Fee or Annual Concession Fee, as the case may be, due and payable to the Authority; (f) monthly proportionate provision of Debt Service due in an Accounting Year; (g) all payments and Damages certified by the Authority as due and payable to it by the Concessionaire; (h) monthly proportionate provision of debt service payments due in an Accounting Year in respect of Subordinated Debt; (i) any reserve requirements set forth in the Financing Agreements; and (j) balance, if any, in accordance with the instructions of the Concessionaire. 27.3.2 The Concessionaire shall not in any manner modify the order of payment specified in Clause 27.3.1, except with the prior written approval of the Authority.

  • Delays during construction Without prejudice to the provisions of Clause 10.3 (ii), in the event the Contractor does not achieve any of the Project Milestones or the Authority’s Engineer shall have reasonably determined that the rate of progress of Works is such that Completion of the Project Highway is not likely to be achieved by the end of the Scheduled Completion Date, it shall notify the same to the Contractor, and the Contractor shall, within 15 (fifteen) days of such notice, by a communication inform the Authority’s Engineer in reasonable detail about the steps it proposes to take to expedite progress and the period within which it shall achieve the Project Completion Date.

  • Agreement Duration The term of the Agreement shall begin and end on the dates indicated in the Standard Grant Agreement, unless extended or terminated earlier in accordance with the applicable terms and conditions. The Grantee shall be eligible for reimbursement for work performed on or after the date of execution through the expiration date of this Agreement, unless otherwise specified in Attachment 2, Special Terms and Conditions. However, work performed prior to the execution of this Agreement may be reimbursable or used for match purposes if permitted by the Special Terms and Conditions.

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