Urban climate projections: computational issues Sample Clauses

Urban climate projections: computational issues. Producing the urban climate projections constitutes a big challenge, mainly because of the huge amount of simulations required. This amount of simulations arises from the large number of combinations when considering the number of (1) forcing GCMs, (2) climate scenarios, (3) adaptation scenarios, and (4) number of years and (5) cities to be covered. First, the number of GCMs we need to consider is in the range of a few tens. The need to consider so many driving/forcing GCMs stems from the need to account for natural climate variability, which is assumed present in an ensemble of GCMs. (Note that, ideally, we would have used Regional Climate Modelling results from the CORDEX initiative, but given that the CORDEX archive is currently far from complete, we will have to rely on CMIP5 results, which contains a few tens of GCMs.
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