Rockwood et al Sample Clauses

Rockwood et al. 2017 Xxxx introduced research by Rockwood et al. (2017) (available as CCSC/APR19/SS/INFO/15), which estimated ship strike mortality for blue, humpback and fin whales in U.S. West Coast waters using an application of a naval encounter model. Data used included AIS data on shipping traffic and line transect survey data on the horizontal distribution of whales, supplemented with tracking data on time at depth, and ancillary information on avoidance behaviour and the probability of mortality given that a collision occurred. There were three main elements considered: given densities of ships and whales in a grid cell and velocities of both, what is the expected number of horizontal encounters; given a horizontal encounter, what is the probability of a strike given vertical overlap based on dive behaviour data and assumptions about avoidance; and given a strike, what is the probability of mortality. The authors concluded that mortality estimates were highly sensitive to the depth of the strike zone and to assumptions about avoidance behaviour, and both these elements need further research. Mortality estimates from the model were far higher than current minimum estimates derived from stranding records and are closer to extrapolations adjusted for detection probabilities of dead whales.
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