Aim of Task 2. 2 In order to gain knowledge about cascading effects in past events, it is necessary to use a systematic and structured method for description and analysis. Such a method was the delivery of Task 2.1. The aim of Task 2.2, in accordance with the DoW of the CascEff project, is to apply the developed methodology on selected past events with cascading effects and give a review of cascading effects in these events. The aim of Task 2.3 is then to investigate additional cases and to construct a database with the data gained by applying the method. It should be noted that the process used for developing the method is based on an iterative process (see e.g. Checkland, 1993) in accordance with Deliverable 2.1, see Figure 1.1. Hence by applying the method in more cases studies during Task 2.2, the method has been slightly modified in the light of applications and evaluations, which is further described in Section 2.3. Create method Use method Modify method Evaluate method Figure 1.1. The iterative method development process (Adapted from Checkland (1993)).
Aim of Task 2. 1 In order to gain knowledge about cascading effects, a systematic and structured methodology for describing and analysing past incidents involving cascading effects needs to be developed, which is the aim of Task 2.1. From the DoW of the CascEff-project, the goal of Task 2.1 is to develop a methodology to study past incidents involving cascading effects which will be applicable to incidents where multi-sectorial and trans-boundary consequences have arisen. An important part of this methodology should also be to enable capturing conditions that enable, aggregate or mitigate the cascading effects. This methodology should then be used in Task 2.2 and 2.3 to study and analyse past incidents.
