Wind forecasting techniques Sample Clauses

Wind forecasting techniques. The aim of this meeting was to gather a group of experts in the field of forecasting who were interested in sharing their exper- tise regarding optimal use of information in wind power forecasting.Wind energy fore- casting has evolved rapidly during the past several years, both technically and from the point of view of its implementation.Wind forecasting models are now used operation- ally in some countries.The tendency is to increase the use of wind power forecasting to manage grids, trade in the market, per- form maintenance, and so on. Presentations by participants showed results coming from the meteorological community that can be applied to improve the prediction of wind power, and also improvements in the models specifically dedicated to forecast the power production of wind farms.There are many different ap- proaches to the problems that use the fields of meteorology and mathematics. End users of the forecasts explained what they need and how they would use wind forecasts in their environment.The circumstances and needs of the users can be very different depending on the country, area of interest, and so on. Another work- shop with end users should be considered to better understand the various scenarios and their priorities regarding the use of wind predictions.The users present at the meeting were interested in extreme events, specifically on ramp forecasting. The value of wind forecasts depends on factors including the characteristics of the system, the way the system is operated, regulations, climatic conditions, and so on. Some studies conclude that improve- ments in forecasting accuracy do not have an impact on the management of the system.These studies should be extended to consider extreme events (where the value of forecasting a single event can be enormous) and to other systems with dif- ferent operational conditions.There was a consensus about the need to reduce errors and uncertainties, especially under extreme conditions. Workshops with wind energy fore- casters, meteorologists, and end users are needed to improve the quality of the fore- casts and to improve decision-making pro- cesses involving wind energy management and integration with the electricity system. It was also mentioned that it is difficult to attract end users to these events, especially transmission system operators (TSOs) and large utilities. There was interest in establishing a new task on wind power prediction.This new task should promote a “dynamic bench- marking” o...
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