Energy Project Economic Analysis Sample Clauses

Energy Project Economic Analysis. Currently, the supply and distribution of electricity in Liberia is extremely limited, both in terms of the number of connections and the total demand of those connections. Current customers pay a high tariff, due to the expensive fuel price for the high speed diesel generators that are currently used for LEC’s entire supply of electricity. After the completion of the Mt. Coffee Rehabilitation Activity, existing customers on the grid will receive a one-time benefit of the drop in tariff, and after that will receive benefits based on their consumption of grid-delivered electricity, as measured by the amount they pay for electricity. Customers already on the grid are expected to have a fairly minimal increase in demand due to the change in cost (in general, the price elasticity of demand for electricity is fairly low, though the income elasticity of demand for electricity is higher, so if there is an overall increase in incomes, we would expect demand to rise more quickly). The majority of the increase in demand is expected to be gained through additional connections to the grid. The economic rate of return depends heavily on this increase in demand from new connections. New customers to the grid see a one-time benefit based on their estimated willingness to pay, and after that similarly receive benefits based on their consumption of grid-delivered electricity, as measured by the amount they pay for electricity. Costs in the model include all costs related to the rehabilitation of MCHPP, plus the costs that consumers will have to pay to connect to the grid and any cost they incur in readying their dwellings or businesses to connect to the grid (i.e. any wiring changes or other upgrades, as indicated upon inspection). The Mt. Coffee Support Activity, LEC Training Center Activity, and the Energy Sector Reform Activity costs are included in the analysis, but potential benefits are not quantifiable at present. Economic Analysis for these Activities is pending, but will be undertaken once designs for these Activities are complete. All Activities for which we develop ERRs should meet the hurdle rate of 10 percent. Currently, the ERR point estimate for the Energy Project is 11 percent with an estimated ERR range, including all costs, of 3 – 17 percent, depending largely on the number of additional connections made by LEC during the lifetime of the Compact. Having sufficient demand connected to the grid remains the largest risk to the ERRs reaching the hurdle rate.
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Related to Energy Project Economic Analysis

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